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20121007
20121015
Search Results 0 to 16 of about 17 (some duplicates have been removed)
schwartz runs quinnipiac universitys polling institute. >> right now, pew has romney up by three points. gallup has obama up by five points in their seven-day track, but since the debate they have obama up by just three points. >> reporter: or how about old friend ray fair, an economist we've been visiting every four years since the george h.w. bush administration. he's got an economic model. >> so right at this moment, its 49.5% of the two-party vote for obama. >> reporter: so the polls and models call it a toss-up. but curiously, the betting public tells a very different story. online betting prediction markets, like ireland's intrade, which takes bets from americans, and england's betfair, which doesnt, have made obama the strong favorite for months. the lone domestic and entirely legal betting haven, the iowa electronic maets at the university of iowa. ever frugal, we asked hari srinivasan, our man in the midwest-- at least last week-- to drop in. >> sreenivasan: this is the entire iowa electronic market? >> this is our server room right here. >> sreenivasan: so the entire predictio
to you on this question, because the polls, recent polls in particular show that governor romney closed what had been a very large gap, especially among women voters just in the last week. so what do you think's going on there and what do you think are the issues driving that? >> well there are two things going on. first of all we need to remember that, and kellyanne said it as well, women voters didn't like mitt romney, at all. by 20 points they personally disliked him going into that first debate. they saw an mitt romney that was very different than what they had expected and saw someone that they thought was much more rod mate-- moderate, more likable than they expected. that said, women still were voting for (back-- barack obama after the debate in the battleground poll, for example, by 10 points. and so women are still support og bama, men are still supporting mitt romney. and in the battleground states that's even more. the biggest difference in the polls, were how energized the democratic women were. a lot of unmarried women, a lot of younger women were not very energized after t
into the polls and the upcoming debate. stu, why would with just a month to go why would the romney campaign decide to give yet another speech on foreign policy. >> the campaign has changed this a number of ways. the focus on foreign policy has changed. margaret, a month ago we were still talking almost entirely about jobs and the economy. now we've had a u.s. ambassador murdered in libya. there's been general... much more attention to foreign policy. i think we had good jobs numbers as well. remember that. >> warner: last friday. the romney campaign is looking to go where the ducks are. at this moment the economic numbers are good for the white house but there's more and more controversy about foreign policy and leadership. >> warner: what would you add to that, susan? did they see this as an opportunity to be seized? >> i think the romney camp understands he needs to be seen as a credible commander in chief if he's going to be elected president. there's a bar he needs to get over. i don't think they're going to stick on this issue much it's pretty clear that even though foreign policy has
romney's performance in last week's highly watched debate has improved his standing in the race. a new gallup tracking poll found the candidates in a dead heat, each receiving 47% among registered voters. the president had held a five-point advantage before the debate. and the pew research center showed romney coming from eight points down to four points ahead among likely voters. there were also signs that he's regained ground in several battle ground states. all of which raises the stakes for this thursday'sen counter between vice president joe biden and vice president shall candidate paul ryan. a debate that will cover both domestic and foreign policy. for more on all this for more on all of this and the differences between the presidential candidates when it comes to foreign policy, we get two views. michele flournoy is the co-chair of the obama campaign's national security advisory committee. she also serves underseetary of defense for pocy in e obama adinistration. and peter feaver served on the national security council staff during the george w. bush administration. he's now a
. in the current poll 49% say we have more confidence in romney. just 41% say that about obama. obama or romney now has his advantage on the budget deficit. he made progress on the issues that were the subjects that took... dominated the debate. >> warner: yet you found... go ahead. >> i was just going to add, margaret. andy is absolutely correct. i think it's stunning when you look at medicare, health care and foreign policy, sure, the president still has a narrow advantage on all those issues. but mitt romney suddenly is in the ballgame almost even with the president on these certainly two of the medicare and health care traditionally democratic issues. that's a stunning development, i think. >> warner: how does this lay the table for the vice presidents' debates? it clearly raises the stakes. >> traditionally vice president shall debates have not made very much difference in the outcome of elections. democrats are worried they are losing momentum that they see all these gains for governor romney on so many fronts. this will be a chance for vice president biden maybe to prosecute the case in a mo
of confidence belied the tension, as several new national polls show ryan's running mate, governor romney, with a slight lead, though within the margin of error. that made what happens on the stage tonight, even more critical. president obama called his vice president to wish him luck today, and voiced support for his man last night, in an interview on abc news. >> i think joe just needs to be joe. >> woodruff: and mitt romney played up ryan's chances, at a wednesday event, in ohio. >> i think paul ryan will do great. >> woodruff: the debate will run 90 minutes, and be moderated by abc's martha raddatz. the presidential contenders will meet again in new york on tuesday. joining us for the debate later tonight and here now to preview what to expect are two familiar faces syndicated columnist mark shields and "new york times" columnist david brooks. >> well, if you look at the polls after the first debate, then it's magnified in part because of the way the democrats reacted, a pollster told my friend e.j. dionne that when republicans hate a poll they want to kill the posters, when democrat
Search Results 0 to 16 of about 17 (some duplicates have been removed)